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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0568
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MI...NERN IND...EXTREME NWRN OH
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 182...
VALID 252315Z - 260015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 182
CONTINUES.
THUNDERSTORM LINE SEGMENTS DISPLAYING OCCASIONAL BOWING STORM
STRUCTURE ARE MOVING E AT 40 KT OVER SERN MI...WITH OTHER MORE
DISCRETE ACTIVITY TRAILING TO THE WSW OVER SCNTRL MI. THESE STORMS
HAVE OCCASIONALLY PRODUCED WIND GUSTS NEAR SVR LVLS...WITH A 40 KT
GUST RECENTLY REPORTED NEAR ANN ARBOR. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING OVER NERN IL...AND WILL MOVE E INTO WW 182
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS.
PRIMARY SURFACE FRONT AT 22Z WAS LOCATED OVER NRN IL EXTENDING
E-NEWD INTO SERN-CNTRL MI. A THERMAL GRADIENT EXISTED S OF THE FRONT
OVER SRN MI...WHERE TEMPERATURES STILL RESIDE IN THE 70S AND 80S AND
DEWPOINTS WHERE IN THE 50S TO LWR 60S. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS FOR
SRN MI AIRMASS YIELD AROUND 1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE. IN ADDITION...AREA
VWP AND SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO INDICATE FAST
UNI-DIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER FLOW AROUND 40-50 KT OVER THE
REGION...FAVORING FAST MOVING LINE SEGMENTS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS. THOUGH STORMS WITH A HISTORY OF
DAMAGING WIND ARE BEGINNING TO EXIT WW...STORMS CROSSING LAKE
MICHIGAN MAY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS OVER SRN MI.
THUS...THE SVR THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF WW 182.
..GARNER.. 04/25/2009
ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...GRR...
LAT...LON 42608702 43598229 42028187 41038662 42608702
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