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Mesoscale Discussion 572
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0572
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0529 PM CDT MON MAY 09 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN KANSAS....CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...AND
   EASTERN/NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 154...

   VALID 092229Z - 092330Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 154
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...CONTINUE WW 154.  STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
   ONGOING ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA...WITH A CONTINUED
   HAIL AND WIND THREAT.  SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH WERE CONVERTED
   TO A TORNADO WATCH...AND ADDITIONAL AREAS MAY ALSO NEED TO BE
   CONVERTED BASED ON LATEST CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION CONTINUES...ACROSS
   THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ATTM.  THESE
   STORMS ARE IN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE INSTABILITY
   /AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG MUCAPE/ AND SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR
   ORGANIZATION/STORM ROTATION...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
   WATCH.  LARGE HAIL IS THE BIGGEST CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS AT THIS
   TIME...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WIND WILL BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN AS
   STORMS HAVE HAD A TENDENCY TO CONGEAL INTO BROKEN LINES ESPECIALLY
   NEAR/SOUTH OF THE WICHITA METRO AREA AND ADJACENT NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

   LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP SHEAR ARE SOMEWHAT STRONGER ACROSS SOUTHERN
   PORTIONS OF THE WATCH NEAR CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.  STORM
   MODE IN THIS REGION IS MORE CELLULAR AS WELL.  FOR THESE
   REASONS...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE SOMEWHAT GREATER IN THIS REGION
   AND PORTIONS OF THIS REGION WERE UPGRADED TO A TORNADO WATCH. 
   ADDITIONAL AREAS MAY NEED UPGRADING...AND TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
   MONITORED.

   ..COOK/CORFIDI.. 05/09/2016


   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...
   DDC...

   LAT...LON   34689808 35549862 36159895 36259895 36509895 36509895
               39229848 40009793 40009787 40009777 40009737 40009601
               40009533 38979505 37009462 35639447 34779608 34689766
               34689808 34689808 

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Page last modified: May 09, 2016
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