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Mesoscale Discussion 589
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0589
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0519 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN KY/FAR SOUTHERN OH/FAR WESTERN WV

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 102219Z - 102345Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL AND
   POSSIBLY A TORNADO SHOULD DEVELOP GENERALLY EASTWARD INTO EASTERN KY
   AND POSSIBLY WESTERN WV/FAR SOUTHERN OH THROUGH EARLY/MID-EVENING.
   MONITORING CONVECTIVE TRENDS FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

   DISCUSSION...A BOWING SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO PROGRESS
   EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST KY/FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL OH...WHILE
   FARTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST...A BROKEN CLUSTER OF STORMS INCLUDING A
   COUPLE OF SUPERCELLS IS ONGOING ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL KY
   AS OF 22Z. AT LEAST GLANCING FOR ASCENT AND A SOUTHWESTERLY FEED OF
   MODESTLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MAY HELP SUSTAIN AT LEAST SOME OF THESE
   SEVERE STORMS INTO EASTERN KY...TO THE EAST OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
   WATCH 159/TORNADO WATCH 162. STRONG SHEAR /45+ KT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
   PER REGIONAL WSR-88D VWP DATA/ WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF
   SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ESPECIALLY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST
   KY...WHILE A MORE LINEAR MODE SHOULD REMAIN PREVALENT FROM FAR
   NORTHEAST KY INTO SOUTHERN OH/ADJACENT WV ALONG THE INTERFACE OF AN
   ARCING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

   ..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 05/10/2016


   ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

   LAT...LON   36728375 36698476 37978379 38398334 39028230 38898162
               36958278 36728375 

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