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Mesoscale Discussion 591
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0591
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0313 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN KS/FAR SOUTHEAST NEB INTO WESTERN
   MO/SOUTHWEST IA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 159...

   VALID 102013Z - 102145Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 159
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH LATE
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING INITIALLY ACROSS EASTERN KS/FAR SOUTHEAST
   NEB...SUBSEQUENTLY SPREADING INTO WESTERN MO/SOUTHWEST IA. SEVERE
   HAIL/ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH 159 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z.

   DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF EARLY MORNING CONVECTION/LINGERING CLOUD
   COVER...GRADUAL AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES TO OCCUR
   NEAR/JUST AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
   KS/SOUTHEAST NEB. NEAR-FRONTAL INITIATION AND INCREASINGLY
   UNIDIRECTIONAL /BUT STRONG/ WIND PROFILES...LARGELY PARALLEL TO THE
   INITIATING BOUNDARY...ARE SUGGESTIVE OF A MIXED/LINEAR CONVECTIVE
   MODE...WITH A FEW SUPERCELLS /AND NON-ZERO TORNADO RISK/ MOST
   PROBABLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS AMID A SOMEWHAT GREATER COMBINATION OF
   VERTICAL SHEAR/BUOYANCY. SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
   PRIMARY HAZARDS AS STORMS SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH EARLY
   EVENING.

   ..GUYER.. 05/10/2015


   ATTN...WFO...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   40339639 40959514 39649370 37249352 37329672 39169614
               40339639 

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Page last modified: May 10, 2015
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