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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0597
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL TX INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 197...
VALID 271243Z - 271415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 197
CONTINUES.
THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL
CONTINUES ACROSS SRN PORTION OF WW AREA. THIS THREAT MAY BEGIN TO
DEVELOP S OF WW BETWEEN 1330 AND 1400Z. A DOWNSTREAM WW MAY BE
NECESSARY.
AS OF 1230Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED LEADING EDGE OF MCS
COLD POOL EXTENDING FROM SRN CROCKETT COUNTY EWD ACROSS NRN PORTIONS
OF SUTTON AND KIMBLE COUNTIES INTO MASON COUNTY. SYSTEM MOTION WAS
SEWD AT 25 KT. 12Z DRT SOUNDING INDICATES THAT INFLOW AIR MASS IS
QUITE MOIST WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...CONTRIBUTING TO MUCAPE OF NEAR
2500 J/KG. THUS...EXPECT SYSTEM TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THIS MORNING
AS BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS AND FURTHER DESTABILIZES.
VERTICAL SHEAR /ENHANCED BY MIDLEVEL IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE BIG
BEND REGION/ IS SUFFICIENT /40-50 KT THROUGH 6 KM/ TO SUPPORT
EMBEDDED SUPERCELL/BOWING STRUCTURES WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL.
..MEAD.. 04/27/2009
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 30110131 30840182 31570170 32040124 32120050 31829941
31229902 30759911 30179947 30060019 30110131
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