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Mesoscale Discussion 605
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0605
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0307 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 112007Z - 112100Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND SRN
   MO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE
   THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS.

   DISCUSSION...EARLY-MORNING MCS THAT SPREAD ACROSS NRN MO HAS MOSTLY
   DISSIPATED...THOUGH A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER EVOLVED ALONG
   LEADING EDGE OF THIS ACTIVITY AND NOW RESIDES OVER WCNTRL IL. 
   OUTFLOW FROM THIS SEVERE CLUSTER IS SPREADING WEST ACROSS ECNTRL MO
   AND APPEARS TO BE ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE...PER THICKENING
   CU FIELD.  LATEST VIS IMAGERY SUGGESTS BOUNDARY-LAYER CU FIELD IS
   BECOMING AGITATED ACROSS CNTRL/SRN MO AND THERE IS INCREASING
   CONCERN THAT DEEP CONVECTION MAY ULTIMATELY DEVELOP ACROSS THIS
   REGION.

   ..DARROW/HART.. 05/11/2016


   ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   36699340 38229322 39299353 39589208 38179090 37349016
               36639163 36699340 

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Page last modified: May 11, 2016
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