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Mesoscale Discussion 612
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0612
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0824 PM CDT WED MAY 11 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SE IND...CNTRL KY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 171...

   VALID 120124Z - 120300Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 171
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
   TO THE EAST OF WW 171 FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS. WW 171 COULD BE
   EXPANDED A ROW OF CONTINUES TO THE EAST OF THE WATCH TO ACCOUNT FOR
   THE CONTINUED THREAT. HOWEVER...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
   MARGINAL AND NEW WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW A BOWING LINE SEGMENT
   EXTENDING FROM SE IND SWD ACROSS ERN PARTS OF THE LOUISVILLE METRO
   AREA AND SWWD TO JUST TO THE NORTH OF BOWLING GREEN KY. THE LINE IS
   MOVING INTO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE
   MID 60S F. THIS ALONG WITH A SEWD STORM MOTION AT 35 KTS WILL BE
   ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALONG THE LEADING
   EDGE OF THE GUST FRONT. HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS CNTRL KY
   EARLY THIS EVENING SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR OF GENERALLY LESS THAN 20 KT.
   THIS SUGGESTS THAT ANY SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN MARGINAL.

   ..BROYLES/THOMPSON.. 05/12/2016


   ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...

   LAT...LON   38888578 38178578 37578645 37328719 36768713 36878512
               37138441 37828398 38808445 38888578 

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Page last modified: May 12, 2016
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