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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0615
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0119 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SERN TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 280619Z - 280745Z
THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH DEVELOPING
STORMS. A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
ELEVATED TSTMS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY EARLY
THIS MORNING FROM JUST E OF AUS TO N OF HOU. ACTIVITY IS LIKELY
BEING GENERATED WITHIN A ZONE OF ASCENT N OF REMNANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ALONG 30 KT LLJ AXIS. RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT
AIR MASS ABOVE SHALLOW SURFACE STABLE LAYER REMAINS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE OF AROUND 1500 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY IN
CONCERT WITH 40 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGH THE CLOUD-BEARING LAYER
MAY SUPPORT A FEW INTENSE STORMS CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL /I.E. HOURLY RATES APPROACHING 2 INCHES/
MAY ALSO BECOME AN ISSUE WITH TIME OWING TO CELL
BACKBUILDING/TRAINING.
..MEAD.. 04/28/2009
ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...
LAT...LON 29569732 29929760 30259744 30429686 30639593 30629511
30399475 30019466 29639503 29379593 29369666 29569732
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