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Mesoscale Discussion 616
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0616
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0313 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN/ERN OHIO...WRN WV...CNTL/ERN KY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 165...

   VALID 112013Z - 112145Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 165
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SVR TSTMS WITH DMGG WIND GUSTS CONTINUES
   ACROSS WW 165.

   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ADVANCING NEWD ACROSS
   WW 165. WHERE CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING HAS NOT YET BEEN ABUNDANT...THE
   PRESENCE OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AMIDST LOWER/MIDDLE 60S
   DEWPOINTS WILL YIELD A RISK FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS WITH STORMS. THE VWP
   AT JKL SAMPLES AROUND 30 KT OF UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW THROUGH MUCH OF
   THE CLOUD LAYER. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FACILITATE
   FORWARD-PROPAGATING...SMALL CONVECTIVE SEGMENTS WITH LOCALLY DMGG
   WIND GUSTS.

   ..COHEN.. 05/11/2015


   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

   LAT...LON   37058560 38548458 39358282 40468160 40358129 39058136
               38328184 37678249 36798406 37058560 

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Page last modified: May 11, 2015
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