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| Mesoscale Discussion 619 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0619
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0432 AM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA AND EXTREME SRN MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 154...
VALID 100932Z - 101100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 154
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS EXTREME SRN MS INTO SERN LA.
DISCUSSION...SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM SRN MS SWWD THROUGH SCNTRL LA
MOVING EAST AT 20 KT. THE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER SERN LA IS VERY MOIST
WITH UPPER 60S-70 DEWPOINTS...BUT THE ATMOSPHERE IS ONLY MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE AND OVERALL TREND HAS BEEN FOR ACTIVITY TO WEAKEN BELOW
SEVERE LEVELS. FORWARD PROPAGATION INTO THE MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL
CONTINUE NEXT FEW HOURS. LLJ AXIS WILL DEVELOP NEWD TOWARD SRN/CNTRL
MS AND BECOME INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM THE RICHER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. NEVERTHELESS...40 KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN
POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED ORGANIZED STRUCTURES INCLUDING MESO-VORTICES
AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.
..DIAL.. 05/10/2013
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...
LAT...LON 29659188 30009121 30589097 30939073 31119026 31348975
31468945 30268999 29519002 29219037 29409107 29479125
29659188
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