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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0627
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0916 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OK/N TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 208...
VALID 291416Z - 291545Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 208
CONTINUES.
ORGANIZING CONVECTIVE BAND MOVING ACROSS SRN OK/THE RED RIVER VALLEY
WILL LIKELY WARRANT NEW WW ISSUANCE.
STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF THE ERN HALF OF WW
208...WITH A MESOLOW BECOMING MORE WELL-DEFINED OVER CENTRAL OK. S
OF THIS LOW...THE MOST INTENSE/ARCING BAND OF STORMS IS
ONGOING...MOVING EWD AT 35 KT ACROSS SRN OK AND THE RED RIVER
VALLEY. WITH SELY LOW-LEVEL INFLOW AND A WEAK WARM FRONT LYING
WNW-ESE ACROSS SRN OK/NERN TX...STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING
EWD/ESEWD AS A WELL-ORGANIZED CLUSTER. THOUGH A WIDESPREAD
DOWNSTREAM CLOUD DECK WILL LIMIT HEATING/DESTABILIZATION...EXISTING
INSTABILITY/SHEAR COMBINATION APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR AT LEAST
LIMITED DAMAGING WIND/HAIL POTENTIAL -- WHICH WILL LIKELY REQUIRE A
NEW WW ISSUANCE ACROSS SERN OK/N TX WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.
..GOSS.. 04/29/2009
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 33219960 33749952 34009847 34799770 34839488 33559418
32629432 32639772 33219960
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