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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0632
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 PM CDT WED APR 29 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN OK/SWRN AR/NWRN LA/NERN TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209...
VALID 292004Z - 292100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209
CONTINUES.
SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES AHEAD OF THE SERN OK/NERN TX BOW...AND IS
INCREASING ACROSS N CENTRAL TX. NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED...WITH WW
209 SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 29/21Z.
LATEST RADAR LOOP CONTINUES TO SHOW A BOWING MCS MOVING ACROSS SERN
OK/NERN TX INTO SWRN AR ATTM. DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS AND SELY LOW-LEVEL
INFLOW ACROSS AR SHOULD MAINTAIN CONVECTION -- AND PERHAPS A LOCAL
SEVERE POTENTIAL -- AS IT MOVES ESEWD INTO AR.
FARTHER W INTO WRN N TX...STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP S OF THE
TRAILING PORTION OF THE SERN OK/NERN TX BOW...WHERE MODERATE
INSTABILITY IS INDICATED. STORMS SHOULD MOVE EWD WITH TIME AND
APPROACH AREAS OF N CENTRAL TX CURRENTLY WITHIN WW 209.
THESE TWO THREAT AREAS WILL LIKELY REQUIRE EITHER A NEW WW
ISSUANCE...LOCAL EXTENSION OF ONGOING WW 209 AND 210...OR SOME
COMBINATION THEREOF.
..GOSS.. 04/29/2009
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...
LAT...LON 32369641 32749734 33399703 33649548 34419463 34479225
32899216 32249284 32369641
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