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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0638
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0706 PM CDT WED APR 29 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SW TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 211...
VALID 300006Z - 300130Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 211 CONTINUES.
TWO SUPERCELLS ONGOING ACROSS SW TX WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO HAVE A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES OVER THE 1 TO 2 HOURS. AN
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST. TORNADO WATCH 211 HAD
BEEN LOCALLY EXPANDED ACROSS EDWARDS AND KINNEY COUNTIES.
THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A DRYLINE IN SW TX WITH MID TO UPPER
60S F DEWPOINTS LOCATED AROUND DEL RIO AND TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS IS
CREATING A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WHICH SHOULD SUSTAIN THE STORMS
SEWD INTO THE FAR SERN PART OF WW 211 OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
ACROSS THE NRN PART OF WW 211...IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT NEW CELLS
WILL DEVELOP DUE TO WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. FOR THIS
REASON...PARTS OF WW 211 WILL LIKELY BE CLEARED BEFORE EXPIRATION.
..BROYLES.. 04/30/2009
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 32110174 32119965 31019966 30969948 30559947 30429930
30279931 30289974 30119975 30100007 29100012 29060067
29610136 29720142 29730208 30770353 31330300 31250272
31350261 31200250 31080245 31080231 31600234 31620176
32110174
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