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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0643
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 AM CDT THU APR 30 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...N TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 215...
VALID 300813Z - 300945Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 215
CONTINUES.
THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
CNTRL/SRN PORTIONS OF WW. THIS THREAT MAY BEGIN TO SPREAD E/SE OF
WW 215 BETWEEN 09-10Z AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR
AN ADDITIONAL WW.
AS OF 0800Z...LEADING EDGE OF MCS EXTENDED FROM FANNIN SWWD THROUGH
COLLIN AND DENTON COUNTIES WITH A SYSTEM MOTION OF 300/35 KT. WHILE
THIS LEADING LINE OF STORMS HAS SHOWN SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING OVER THE
PAST HOUR...ADDITIONAL...INTENSE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ATOP TRAILING
COLD POOL...OVER JACK/WISE AND WILBARGER/BAYLOR/WICHITA/ARCHER
COUNTIES OF NWRN/N-CNTRL TX. LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATES THAT MCS
REMAINS N OF WARM FRONT WHICH EXTENDS FROM N OF ABI-ACT-UTS...WITH
SYSTEM BEING MAINTAINED BY STRONG INFLOW OF A QUITE MOIST AIR MASS
/PW VALUES OF 1.5-1.8 INCHES/ BY 40-50 KT LLJ.
EXPECT MCS TO CONTINUE SEWD WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT GRADUALLY
DEVELOPING E/SE OF WW AREA BETWEEN 09-10Z. LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THE LEADING CONVECTIVE
LINE...WITH HAIL AND HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
TRAILING STORMS DEVELOPING OVER SYSTEM COLD POOL.
..MEAD.. 04/30/2009
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN...SJT...
LAT...LON 33039930 33659950 34319949 34499910 34289816 34039702
33869627 33499558 32859551 32319611 32049699 32199816
33039930
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