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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0644
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0405 AM CDT THU APR 30 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S-CNTRL NEB INTO NWRN/N-CNTRL KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 216...
VALID 300905Z - 301030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 216
CONTINUES.
THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL CONTINUES ACROSS CNTRL/ERN
PARTS OF WW AREA. THIS SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP E OF WW 216
BETWEEN 0930-1000Z AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN
ADDITIONAL WW.
AS OF 0845Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A BROKEN LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS FROM PHELPS COUNTY NEB SWWD TO RAWLINS
COUNTY KS MOVING 280/30-35 KT. GLD WSR-88D DATA AND HIGHER
RESOLUTION RADAR MOSAICS SHOW THAT SYSTEM GUST FRONT HAS SURGED
AHEAD OF PARENT UPDRAFTS BY 40-50 KM...SUGGESTING THE EVOLVING
SYSTEM COLD POOL IS DOMINATING AMBIENT LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
NONETHELESS...TSTM COMPLEX HAS SHOWN SOME FORWARD-PROPAGATIONAL
CHARACTERISTICS AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
WITHIN ANY STRONGER DOWNDRAFT CORES. OTHERWISE...EXPECT SEVERE HAIL
TO REMAIN THE PRIMARY SEVERE HAZARD WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.
A GRADUAL VEERING OF 40-50 KT LLJ OBSERVED CURRENTLY OVER WRN KS
SHOULD SERVE TO ENHANCE MOIST INFLOW INTO TSTMS WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY
CONTINUING ESEWD TO THE N OF WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY EXTENDING ALONG
ROUGHLY A HLC-EMP-OJC LINE.
..MEAD.. 04/30/2009
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...GLD...
LAT...LON 39199978 39370064 39810055 40259978 40479869 40359804
40029776 39119791 39179873 39199978
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