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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0652
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 AM CDT FRI MAY 01 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OK/NWRN AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 220...
VALID 011532Z - 011630Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 220
CONTINUES.
COMPLEX MCS LOCATED OVER SERN KS/NERN OK/SWRN MO/NWRN AR REMAINS
SOMEWHAT STATIONARY AS LLJ BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND VEER ACROSS OK.
INDIVIDUAL UPDRAFTS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/EVOLVE ALONG WRN/SRN
PERIPHERY OF PRECIP SHIELD...THE STRONGEST OF WHICH ARE LOCATED JUST
NORTH OF THE FRONTAL ZONE OVER OK. WITH MEAGER BOUNDARY LAYER
HEATING EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS IT APPEARS
WARM ADVECTION ATOP FRONTAL ZONE WILL REMAIN INFLUENTIAL IN UPDRAFT
GENERATION/MAINTENANCE. HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT...ALTHOUGH HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO BECOMING A CONCERN GIVEN THIS
REGION HAS RECEIVED A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF PRECIP RECENTLY.
..DARROW.. 05/01/2009
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...OUN...
LAT...LON 36949666 35959331 35109367 36299744 36949666
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