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Mesoscale Discussion 653
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0653
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1135 AM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/UPPER TX GULF COAST

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 182...

   VALID 191635Z - 191800Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 182
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND
   MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL SHOULD DEVELOP WITHIN A SPATIALLY CONFINED
   CORRIDOR DOWNSTREAM OF WW 182. PROBABILITY OF DOWNSTREAM WW ISSUANCE
   IS 40 PERCENT.

   DISCUSSION...30-35 KT EASTWARD-MOVING CLUSTER WILL LIKELY SHIFT EAST
   OF WW 182 THROUGH ABOUT 18Z. LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE
   CONFINED FROM GALVESTON BAY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST/EAST-ORIENTED
   PORTION OF THE WARM FRONT THAT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN GULF.
   DOWNSTREAM CLOUD COVERAGE AND LEADING STRATIFORM RAIN IN SOUTHEAST
   TX WILL LIKELY LIMIT APPRECIABLE MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT NORTHWARD
   THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SUGGESTS THE THREAT FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED
   SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL PROBABLY BE CONFINED TO A COUPLE COUNTIES
   INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

   ..GRAMS/GOSS.. 05/19/2016


   ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

   LAT...LON   29219702 29429662 29719569 29729496 29529471 29279477
               28579592 28159674 27979718 28069752 28249772 28549752
               29219702 

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Page last modified: May 19, 2016
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