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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0658
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 PM CDT FRI MAY 01 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN INTO NORTHERN AL/NORTHEAST MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 221...
VALID 012048Z - 012215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 221
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 221 CONTINUES UNTIL 00Z ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND
NORTHERN AL/NORTHEAST MS.
SEVERE QUASI-LINEAR MCS CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE/ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE MIDDLE TN/NORTHERN AL BORDER AS OF 2045Z. AHEAD OF THIS
MCS...THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM/QUICKLY RECOVER ACROSS
NORTHERN AL FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON THE PERIPHERY OF A RESIDUAL
MESO-HIGH/CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW ACROSS NORTHEAST AL/EASTERN TN. GIVEN A
RICH VORTICITY/HEIGHTENED SRH ENVIRONMENT WITH BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW
ALONG THE MODIFYING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM SOUTH MIDDLE TN INTO
NORTHEAST AL...A QLCS-EMBEDDED TORNADO RISK CANNOT BE RULED OUT. BUT
OTHERWISE DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL /ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL/
SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREATS AS THE MCS CONTINUES TO GROW
UPSCALE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
..GUYER.. 05/01/2009
ATTN...WFO...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...
LAT...LON 35598837 35488686 34488542 33778596 33738732 34468836
35598837
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