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Mesoscale Discussion 664
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0664
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0630 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST KS AND CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NEB
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 163...
   
   VALID 162330Z - 170100Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 163
   CONTINUES.
   
   SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 163 CONTINUES UNTIL 01Z ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF SOUTHWEST/WEST-CENTRAL NEB AND NORTHWEST KS...WITH CONTINUED
   POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND. SOME ADDITIONAL SEVERE TSTM
   DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE INTO ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
   NEB...ALTHOUGH A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED. OVERALL STORM INTENSITY
   WILL LIKELY TEND TO WANE AFTER SUNSET.
   
   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TSTMS...SOME STRONG/SEVERE...ARE OCCURRING ON
   THE IMMEDIATE EAST/SOUTHERN ARCING PERIPHERY OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING
   VORTICITY MAXIMA/MCV ACROSS SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL NEB. THIS
   INCLUDES A NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED LINEAR CLUSTER OF STORMS
   ACROSS NORTHWEST KS...WHERE A 49 KT GUST WAS MEASURED ON THE
   GOODLAND ASOS AROUND 2215Z. A SPATIAL EXTENSION OF SEVERE TSTM WATCH
   163 MAY BE WARRANTED ACROSS NORTHWEST KS.
   
   FARTHER NORTHEAST...OTHER STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS WILL OCCUR
   OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST
   NEB...ON THE NORTH-NORTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE MCV QUASI-FOCUSED
   ROUGHLY ALONG A WEST-EAST ORIENTED FRONTAL ZONE THAT EXTENDS ACROSS
   NORTHERN NEB. AROUND 1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE WITHIN THE CORRIDOR...ALONG
   WITH MODESTLY STRONG DEEP LAYER SOUTHWESTERLIES ABOVE THE SURFACE
   /PER REGIONAL DERIVED WIND DATA/...WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
   SEMI-SUSTAINED MULTICELLS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED BOUTS OF
   HAIL/WIND...PRIMARILY PRIOR TO SUNSET.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/16/2013
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
   
   LAT...LON   39310180 39760059 40539948 41189924 42159936 42239800
               41699668 41189758 40349793 38630034 39310180 
   
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Page last modified: May 17, 2013
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