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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0671
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 PM CDT SAT MAY 02 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX...NRN LA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON
VALID 022004Z - 022030Z
LATEST VIS IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA SUGGEST BOUNDARY LAYER THERMALS
ARE DEEPENING ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION...ESPECIALLY NERN TX.
SHOWERS ARE GRADUALLY EXPANDING WELL AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES ARE NOW WELL INTO THE 80S WITH
NEAR 70F DEW POINTS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EVOLVING WITHIN INCREASED
BUOYANCY AND STRENGTHENING SHEAR WHICH SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT
FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THERE APPEARS TO
BE A RISK OF TORNADOES WITH DISCRETE ACTIVITY THAT EVOLVES AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT...WHILE AN UPWARD EVOLVING MCS SHOULD EVENTUALLY SPREAD
ACROSS NCNTRL TX INTO THIS AREA LATER THIS EVENING WITH AT LEAST
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS.
..DARROW.. 05/02/2009
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...
LAT...LON 33029569 33009119 31279131 31309570 33029569
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