Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 672
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 672 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0672
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0902 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...WEST AND NORTHWEST KS

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 187...

   VALID 220202Z - 220300Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 187 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE GREATEST SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT IN THE SHORT TERM
   /THROUGH 03Z/ IS GENERALLY CONFINED TO A SMALL PART OF WEST-CENTRAL
   AND NORTHWEST KS /INCLUDING THE COUNTIES OF NORTHERN
   WICHITA...LOGAN...EASTERN WALLACE...SOUTHEAST SHERMAN AND SOUTHWEST
   THOMAS/.

   DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE ANALYSES
   SUGGEST THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE ONGOING CLUSTER OF STORMS IN
   WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST KS IS ANCHORED ALONG A WARM FRONT...WHICH
   EXTENDED FROM NORTHEAST CO THROUGH LOGAN COUNTY TO SEWARD/MEADE
   COUNTIES KS.  ALTHOUGH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING IS SUPPORTING AN
   INCREASE IN SURFACE-BASED INHIBITION...FURTHER ENHANCED BY THE CAP
   EVIDENT IN THE DDC 00Z SOUNDING...A 30-40 KT SSELY LOW-LEVEL JET IS
   MAINTAINING AN INFLOW OF MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE STORM
   CLUSTER.  EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-40 KT WILL BE SUSTAINED
   SUPPORTING A CONTINUATION OF STORM ORGANIZATION.  IF STORM
   INTENSITIES DO NOT WEAKEN PRIOR TO 03Z...THEN A PORTION OF WW 187
   MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN TIME BY THE LOCAL WFO.

   MEANWHILE...AN INCREASE IN SURFACE-BASED INHIBITION WITH SOUTHWARD
   EXTENT INTO SOUTHWEST KS AND NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST CO WILL
   LIMIT NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

   ..PETERS.. 05/22/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38560030 38440100 38510162 38940179 39650164 39680125
               39500073 39100037 38560030 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 22, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities