Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 700
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 700 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0700
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0302 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...COLORADO FRONT RANGE AND FOOTHILLS FROM
   DENVER-BOULDER TO FORT COLLINS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 252002Z - 252130Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A LOCALIZED SVR RISK WILL EXIST APPROXIMATELY FROM THE
   I-25 CORRIDOR TO THE CO FRONT RANGE AND FOOTHILLS FROM
   DENVER-BOULDER TO FORT COLLINS.

   DISCUSSION...FTG VWP DATA SAMPLE A DEEP ELY FLOW COMPONENT WITHIN
   THE NERN QUADRANT OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER CNTRL CO
   PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. RELATIVELY RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE HAS
   EXTENDED TO THE FRONT RANGE AND FOOTHILLS...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
   UPPER 40S TO THE LOWER 50S OBSERVED FROM THE DENVER-BOULDER AREA
   NWD. COMBINED WITH ONLY MODESTLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES PER THE
   12Z DNR RAOB...THIS MOISTURE IS SUPPORTING MLCAPE AROUND 500-1000
   J/KG. THIS MAY YIELD SOME INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY AS
   DIURNAL HEATING AND UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUE. GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED
   WIND PROFILE...CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO ADVANCE SUBSTANTIALLY E
   OF I-25. NEVERTHELESS...MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY
   COOL ALOFT FOR SOME MARGINAL-SVR-HAIL POTENTIAL...THOUGH GENERALLY
   WEAK MID-LEVEL FLOW/DEEP SHEAR SHOULD MITIGATE CONVECTIVE
   ORGANIZATION.

   ..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 05/25/2014


   ATTN...WFO...BOU...

   LAT...LON   39380491 40370545 40860535 40850489 40030469 39530460
               39380491 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 25, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities