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Mesoscale Discussion 702
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0702
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0308 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN AND N-CNTRL KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202...

   VALID 240808Z - 240915Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A MARGINALLY SEVERE-HAIL THREAT WILL TEND TO FOCUS ALONG
   AND NORTH OF THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW OVER N-CNTRL
   AND NWRN KS.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A WEST-EAST ORIENTED CLUSTER OF
   STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL WITH THE
   STRONGER CORES.  THE TERMINUS OF A STRONG SOUTHERLY LLJ IS FOCUSED
   OVER NRN PORTIONS OF KS AND THIS FEATURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG
   POLEWARD FLUX OF ADEQUATELY RICH MOISTURE.  MODERATE ELEVATED
   BUOYANCY /MUCAPE 1000-2000 J PER KG/ AMIDST EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-40
   KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS /MIX OF STRONG MULTICELLS AND
   SHORT-LIVES SUPERCELLS/ CAPABLE OF AN ISOLATED LARGE-HAIL RISK FOR
   THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

   ..SMITH.. 05/24/2016


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38950101 39820039 39559672 39079693 38950101 

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Page last modified: May 24, 2016
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