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Mesoscale Discussion 709
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0709
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0455 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL MN

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 242155Z - 242300Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED LARGE-HAIL AND STRONG WIND-GUST THREAT MAY
   ACCOMPANY A MATURING STORM ACROSS CNTRL MN THROUGH THE EARLY
   EVENING. COVERAGE AND DURATION OF THESE THREATS IS EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR A WW.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW A RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELL HAS
   DEVELOPED ACROSS CNTRL MN...AND IS ANCHORED ALONG A STATIONARY
   BOUNDARY. DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S F ARE OBSERVED TO
   THE S OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE STRONGER MIXING HAS OCCURRED...WHILE A
   NARROW CORRIDOR OF LOW-MID 60S F DEWPOINTS IS IN PLACE INVOF THE
   BOUNDARY. WEAK ELY WINDS ARE PRESENT N OF THE BOUNDARY...BUT
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS GENERALLY WEAK ACROSS THE REGION...AND STRONGER IN
   THE MID-LEVELS. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /AROUND 30 KT/ AND COLD MIDLEVEL
   TEMPERATURES ARE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED ISOLATED
   LARGE-HAIL THREAT...AND PERHAPS A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS...PRIOR TO
   THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

   ..ROGERS/EDWARDS.. 05/24/2016


   ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

   LAT...LON   44389214 44289353 44579476 44989548 45329555 45459525
               45369466 45099378 45039326 44929272 44729225 44389214 

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Page last modified: May 24, 2016
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