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Mesoscale Discussion 709
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0709
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1256 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ME

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 261756Z - 261830Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED SOON FOR PARTS OF
   ME FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING...WITH HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

   DISCUSSION...OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS
   CENTRAL AND NRN ME HAS BECOME MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE
   RANGING FROM 500-700 J/KG.  ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY SHOULD NOT BECOME
   MUCH STRONGER DUE TO MODEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SURFACE
   DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S...EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR HAS STRENGTHENED TO
   40-50 KT TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL ORGANIZED STORMS.  STORMS DEVELOPING
   OVER NRN/CENTRAL ME MOVING INTO SRN PARTS OF ME...AND STORMS
   DEVELOPING AND MOVING SEWD FROM SRN QUEBEC WILL POSE A SVR THREAT.

   ..PETERS/CORFIDI.. 05/26/2014


   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

   LAT...LON   46246772 45836760 45146728 44776771 44586874 44447013
               45237098 46577006 47406927 47296781 46246772 

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Page last modified: May 26, 2014
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