Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 710
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 710 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0710
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0119 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND NRN FL PENINSULA / OKEFENOKEE SWAMP

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 261819Z - 262045Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLD TO SCTD STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS
   AFTERNOON.  A FEW POCKETS OF ISOLD STRONG DAMAGE-PRODUCING WINDS
   SEEM INCREASINGLY POSSIBLE.  MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH
   THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS.

   DISCUSSION...18Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
   BOUNDARY ROUGHLY 20-25 MI INLAND FROM THE EAST COAST AND MOVING
   WESTWARD OVER THE CNTRL FL PENINSULA.  VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
   SHOWS A CUMULUS FIELD THAT IS CONTINUING TO DESTABILIZE AS TEMPS
   WARM THROUGH THE UPPER 80S EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  MODIFYING THE 12Z
   JAX RAOB FOR INLAND SURFACE CONDITIONS YIELDS 2000-2500 MLCAPE OVER
   THE REGION.  VERY STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /AOA 9 DEG C PER KM/
   AND MOIST TROPOSPHERIC COLUMN WILL POTENTIALLY SUPPORT SOME STORMS
   CAPABLE OF WET MICROBURSTS VIA WATER LOADING.  AN ASOS MEASURED 50
   MPH GUST WAS OBSERVED RECENTLY AT KNIP AROUND 1730Z.  DUE TO THE
   EVOLVING ENVIRONMENT AND OBSERVED DATA TRENDS...ISOLD POCKETS OF
   STRONG WIND GUSTS /45-60 MPH/ RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE
   APPEAR LIKELY WITH THE STRONGER CONVECTIVE BURSTS.  GIVEN RELATIVELY
   COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPS /-12 DEG C AT H5/...ISOLD LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO
   ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

   ..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 05/26/2014


   ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   27378230 27848258 28918257 30068313 30898278 30898187
               27938088 27178096 27078170 27378230 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 26, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities