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Mesoscale Discussion 713
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0713
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0329 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PART OF SERN TX AND THE MID-UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 262029Z - 262130Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR AN INCREASE IN DAMAGING WINDS
   ACROSS SERN TX AND THE MID-UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN...AND A CONTINUED
   POSSIBILITY FOR A TORNADO OR TWO GENERALLY CONFINED TO THE W AND NW
   OF KHOU.

   DISCUSSION...IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG-SVR STORM LOCATED IN NRN FORT
   BEND COUNTY TX...A BAND OF STORMS LOCATED ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF
   A LONG-LIVED MCS WAS ADVANCING EWD FROM ERN WALLER TO JACKSON
   COUNTIES TX.  SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN HAVE
   WARMED INTO THE LOWER 80S WHICH COULD PROMOTE AN INCREASE IN
   STRONGER WIND GUSTS AS THE MCS REACHES THIS REGION.  IN ADDITION TO
   THIS WIND THREAT...THE ONGOING LONG-LIVED ROTATING UPDRAFT  /NOW
   LOCATED IN NRN FORT BEND COUNTY/ APPEARS TO BE TRACKING NNEWD INVOF
   A VORTICITY RICH BOUNDARY AND A THETA-E GRADIENT THAT EXTENDED FROM
   THE STORM INTO MONTGOMERY COUNTY.  THUS...A TORNADO THREAT WILL BE
   POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

   ..PETERS/CORFIDI.. 05/26/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...CRP...

   LAT...LON   28409575 27889657 27839721 28129758 29119659 29739610
               30329545 30439447 30269401 29539387 28979467 28409575 

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Page last modified: May 26, 2014
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