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Mesoscale Discussion 714
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0714
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0224 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 193...

   VALID 211924Z - 212100Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 193
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL REMAINS ACROSS ERN NC.

   DISCUSSION...RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
   FROM ASJ SSWWD TO JUST NW OF FLO. ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY
   WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT NWWD
   INTO THE REGION. DEWPOINT AT THE DPL HAS INCREASED FROM 68 TO 71 DEG
   F WITH A SIMILAR TREND NOTED AT ISO. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
   REMAIN RELATIVELY POOR BUT THE QUALITY OF THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
   STILL SUPPORTS MLCAPE NEAR 1000 J PER KG. AS SUCH...TSTM ACTIVITY IS
   EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH SOME
   INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY POSSIBLE. PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT
   IS DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS WITH SOME ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL ALSO
   POSSIBLE.

   ..MOSIER.. 05/21/2015


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...

   LAT...LON   35527882 35917810 36287641 35867539 33827748 33737928
               34478001 35527882 

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Page last modified: May 21, 2015
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