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Mesoscale Discussion 715
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0715
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0602 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN TX

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 188...

   VALID 262302Z - 270030Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 188 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
   WIND WILL PERSIST INTO MID EVENING ACROSS WRN TX.

   DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS EVENING NUMEROUS STORMS INCLUDING A FEW
   SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS WRN TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH FORCING
   FOR ASCENT ATTENDING A VORTICITY MAXIMUM ROTATING THROUGH BASE OF
   CUTOFF UPPER LOW. STORMS APPEAR TO BE AT OR NEAR THEIR PEAK
   INTENSITY AND ARE WITHIN AXIS OF MAXIMUM INSTABILITY WHERE LATEST
   OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATE AROUND 1500 J/KG MLCAPE. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
   IS WEAK AND 0-2 KM HODOGRAPHS ARE SMALL. NEVERTHELESS...EFFECTIVE
   SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...AND STORMS REMAIN RELATIVELY
   DISCRETE AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES AS
   THEY INTERACT WITH MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES. WITH TIME...STORMS MAY
   EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS/LINE AS THEY DEVELOP EWD WHICH MAY
   INCREASE THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND.

   ..DIAL.. 05/26/2014


   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   29500216 31530231 33830221 33960026 32420010 29580055
               29500216 

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Page last modified: May 27, 2014
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