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Mesoscale Discussion 721
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0721
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1137 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL KS

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 204...

   VALID 250437Z - 250630Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 204 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCH 204 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED
   AT 05Z.  HOWEVER...ISOLATED HAIL APPROACHING SEVERE-CALIBER OF 1
   INCH IN DIAMETER REMAINS POSSIBLE NORTH OF AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED
   CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN SUMNER COUNTY
   THROUGH FAR NORTHERN HARPER AND BARBER COUNTIES TO NEAR DDC.

   DISCUSSION...ISOLATED HAIL APPROACHING THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL
   REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO...AT LEAST...THE EARLY OVERNIGHT AS A 45-KT
   SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET MAINTAINS A WARM ADVECTION REGIME FOR ASCENT
   WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST FLANK OF THE LARGE CENTRAL/EASTERN KS MCS. 
   WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES PER 00Z OUN SOUNDING AND THE LLJ
   MAINTAINING A FEED OF MODERATELY STRONG INSTABILITY INTO
   SOUTH-CENTRAL KS...TSTMS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLANK OF THE MCS SHOULD
   PERSIST OVERNIGHT.

   ..PETERS.. 05/25/2016


   ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...

   LAT...LON   38209966 38549932 38449847 37869845 37609849 37709908
               37799933 38209966 

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Page last modified: May 25, 2016
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