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Mesoscale Discussion 723
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0723
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1152 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN AND S-CNTRL ND

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 270452Z - 270545Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A MCS MOVING ACROSS SWRN AND S-CNTRL ND MAY POSE A THREAT
   FOR STRONG TO MARGINALLY SVR WIND GUSTS INTO EARLY TUE MORNING. A WW
   IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE
   TO BE MONITORED.

   DISCUSSION...A MCS WAS POSITIONED FROM APPROXIMATELY 20 WSW N60
   ARCING WWD TO NEAR DIK AS OF 0445Z...WITH LATEST ESTIMATED MOTION
   TOWARDS THE SE AT AROUND 30 KT. A 46 KT WIND GUST WAS OBSERVED AT
   DIK AT 0426Z. CURRENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS SUGGEST PRIMARY THREAT WITH
   THIS MCS WILL BE STRONG TO MARGINALLY SVR WIND GUSTS...WITH ANY
   POTENTIALLY STRONGER GUSTS LIKELY REMAINING LOCALIZED. S-SELY INFLOW
   AROUND 30 KT WAS OBSERVED IN THE LOWEST 2 KM AGL LAYER PER BIS VWP
   DATA...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PROPAGATION TOWARDS THE SE.
   HOWEVER...WITH CINH LIKELY INCREASING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE NEXT
   COUPLE HRS...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SVR WIND GUSTS APPEARS TOO
   LOW TO WARRANT A WW ATTM.

   ..ROGERS/MEAD.. 05/27/2014


   ATTN...WFO...BIS...

   LAT...LON   47430028 46880038 46480083 46350176 46320258 46510316
               46640360 46750363 46870351 46970303 47060251 47180216
               47570199 47750179 47740088 47430028 

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Page last modified: May 27, 2014
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