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Mesoscale Discussion 732
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0732
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0946 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 240246Z - 240415Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A TORNADO AND LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE RISK MAY DEVELOP
   ACROSS ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TX THROUGH LATE
   EVENING/OVERNIGHT. A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON.

   DISCUSSION...AN ASYMMETRIC SQUALL LINE EVOLUTION APPEARS TO BE
   OCCURRING ACROSS CENTRAL TX GENERALLY NEAR THE I-35
   CORRIDOR...INCLUDING AN NORTH-SIDE EMBEDDED COMMAHEAD CIRCULATION
   NORTHWEST OF THE AUSTIN AREA AS OF 945 PM CDT. THIS CIRCULATION
   COULD PERSIST OUTSIDE OF TORNADO WATCH 198...WHILE OTHER STORMS HAVE
   RECENTLY REDEVELOPED/INCREASED OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE
   METROPLEX. EARLIER 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDING FROM FORT WORTH AND MORE
   RECENT WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM KFWS SUPPORTS AROUND 225-275 M2/S2 OF
   0-1 KM SRH. PARTICULARLY WITH SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE OF A
   SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET POSSIBLE TONIGHT...A TORNADO/LOCALIZED WIND
   DAMAGE RISK MAY INCREASE THROUGH LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

   ..GUYER/CORFIDI.. 05/24/2015


   ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

   LAT...LON   30219729 31089805 31819781 33199727 32969566 31619525
               29179633 30219729 

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Page last modified: May 24, 2015
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