Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 732
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 732 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0732
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0723 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SW/S-CNTRL NEB

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 260023Z - 260200Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SOME ISOLATED HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
   IF THE ONGOING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER ACROSS SW NEB IS ABLE TO REMAIN
   ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES INTO S-CNTRL NEB. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR
   A POSSIBLE WW.

   DISCUSSION...ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER ACROSS SW NEB CONTINUES TO
   MOVE SEWD INTO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. RECENT INCREASE IN SEWD
   MOTION WILL LIKELY TAKE IT OVER A WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPED FROM CNTRL
   NEB SWWD TO JUST N OF IML AND THEN WWD INTO NE CO. WARMER
   TEMPERATURES AND BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE
   COLD FRONT ARE SUPPORTING MLCAPE FROM 500-1500 J PER KG /BASED ON
   RECENT MESOANALYSIS/ WITH INCREASED MID-LEVEL FLOW ALSO PRESENT
   /BASED ON RECENT GLD VAD/. 

   WITH DIURNAL HEATING NOW WANING...TIMING OF THIS CLUSTER MAY BE A
   BIT TOO LATE TO TAP INTO THE BEST INSTABILITY CURRENTLY
   DOWNSTREAM...RESULTING IN SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE PERSISTENCE AND
   STRENGTH OF THIS CLUSTER AS IT CONTINUES EWD. HOWEVER...THE SHEAR
   WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF A GENERALLY ORGANIZED STRUCTURE WITH
   ISOLATED HAIL AND/OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IF
   ITS ABLE TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS THE LLJ
   INCREASES. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.

   ..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 05/26/2016


   ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

   LAT...LON   39959990 39960029 40050073 40360173 41150131 41140043
               40929947 40279927 39959990 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 26, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities