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Mesoscale Discussion 740
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0740
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1254 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 241754Z - 241930Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY DURING
   THE AFTERNOON WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.  A
   TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO 1830Z.

   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INTENSIFIED ALONG THE NRN PORTION
   OF A QLCS ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL MO...WITH A PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL
   CIRCULATION EVIDENT OVER ERN HENRY COUNTY. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION
   OF THIS LINE IS EXPECTED...IN PART ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE-SCALE
   ASCENT FROM A CONVECTIVELY-INDUCED VORT MAX LIFTING NEWD OVER THE
   DISCUSSION AREA. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS MODEST...0-1 KM SRH IN
   THE RANGE OF 100 TO 200 M2/S2 WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED RISK FOR
   QLCS CIRCULATIONS.  BOWING SEGMENTS MAY ALSO POSE A RISK FOR
   DAMAGING GUSTS.

   A WW IS LIKELY PRIOR TO 1830Z.

   ..BUNTING/GOSS.. 05/24/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   36779318 37599325 38189362 38389372 39909294 40059220
               39919170 39499130 39059122 38779124 38339117 37889127
               36989139 36649146 36569189 36589304 36779318 

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Page last modified: May 24, 2015
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