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Mesoscale Discussion 741
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0741
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1158 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN MT

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 280458Z - 280600Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING
   WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA TONIGHT. A WATCH
   IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...A SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS INCLUDING A SMALL BOWING
   STRUCTURE AND ASSOCIATED COMMA HEAD HAS EVOLVED OVER CNTRL MT SE OF
   LWT WITH A MOTION OF 265/35 KT. THIS ACTIVITY IS PERHAPS BEING
   FORCED BY A VORTICITY MAXIMUM /EVIDENT IN RADAR DATA/ CURRENTLY JUST
   E OF GTF AND JUST TO THE N OF A WEAK SURFACE FRONT SITUATED FROM
   ALONG THE SD-ND BORDER WWD TO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR WRL.
   WHILE INSTABILITY REMAINS WEAK...THE PRESENCE OF A WIND PROFILE
   EXHIBITING PRONOUNCED VEERING WITH HEIGHT HAS PROMOTED SOME UPDRAFT
   ROTATION WHICH MAY SUSTAIN THE STORMS EWD TOWARD THE ND BORDER.
   LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND/OR SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN BE POSSIBLE
   WITH ISOLATED NATURE OF THE THREAT LIKELY PRECLUDING THE NECESSITY
   OF A WATCH.

   ..MEAD.. 05/28/2014


   ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...

   LAT...LON   46840866 47100767 47130532 46940425 46570413 46140438
               45870622 46110803 46320863 46840866 

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Page last modified: May 28, 2014
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