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Mesoscale Discussion 748
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0748
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0527 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE LOWER MO VALLEY

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 215...216...

   VALID 262227Z - 262330Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 215...216...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SHORT-TERM TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND THREAT SHOULD BE CONFINED
   TO SMALL PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEB...NORTHWEST MO...SOUTHWEST IA
   THROUGH 00Z.

   DISCUSSION...MOST INTENSE PORTION OF THE QLCS FROM THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
   NEB/NORTH-CENTRAL KS BORDER AREA TO SOUTHWEST IA IS AN EMBEDDED
   MESOCYCLONE CROSSING THE MO RIVER. THIS CIRCULATION SHOULD STRUGGLE
   TO DEVELOP SOUTHWARD GIVEN PRESENCE OF UPPER 50S SURFACE DEW POINTS
   IN THE STRATIFORM/OVERTURNED AIR MASS ACROSS MOST OF NORTHEAST
   KS/NORTHWEST MO. A POCKET OF MIDDLE 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS STILL
   PERSISTS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL IA...SUGGESTING THE EASTERN PORTION OF
   THE QLCS MAY SHIFT INTO THIS REGION. BUT GIVEN THE EXTENSIVE
   STRATIFORM REGION OCCURRING NORTH OF THE SEVERE STORMS NEAR THE
   KANSAS CITY METRO AREA...TEMPORAL EXTENT OF THE SEVERE RISK MAY BE
   LIMITED.

   ..GRAMS.. 05/26/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...

   LAT...LON   40849556 40959466 40799436 40469441 40159507 40229565
               40399596 40629573 40849556 

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Page last modified: May 26, 2016
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