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Mesoscale Discussion 758
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0758
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1004 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 270304Z - 270400Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SUPERCELL CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH KERR COUNTY IS EXPECTED
   TO PERSIST AS IT MOVES EWD AND A NEW WATCH WILL BE NEEDED SOON TO
   COVER THIS THREAT.

   DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL THAT HAD ONCE EXHIBITED A DOWNWARD TREND
   QUICKLY REGENERATED AS IT ENCOUNTERED A MORE MOIST AIRMASS. AIRMASS
   AHEAD OF THE STORM IS CHARACTERIZED BY TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
   70S/LOW 80S...DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S...AND MLCAPE AROUND 2000-3000
   J PER KG. THIS FAVORABLE AIRMASS AND THE PRESENCE OF AN OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE MAINTENANCE OF THIS
   SUPERCELL...RESULTING IN A DOWNSTREAM SVR THREAT. SVR TSTM WATCH
   WILL BE NEEDED SOON.

   ..MOSIER/GUYER.. 05/27/2016


   ATTN...WFO...EWX...

   LAT...LON   29869919 30279914 30669866 30769812 30699748 30489723
               30139690 29789689 29519710 29479735 29449874 29869919 

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Page last modified: May 27, 2016
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