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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0769
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0707 AM CDT FRI MAY 02 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...SW IL...SE MO...ERN AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 248...
VALID 021207Z - 021300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 248
CONTINUES.
THE WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT SHOULD EXPAND EWD AS A PERSISTENT
LINEAR MCS MOVES INTO SE MO AND NCNTRL AR. ATTM...WW ISSUANCE
APPEARS LIKELY EAST OF WW 248 ACROSS SW IL...SE MO AND ERN AR.
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 994 MB LOW OVER FAR NW MO WITH A COLD
FRONT ADVANCING SEWD ACROSS ERN KS AND ERN OK. A DYNAMIC UPPER-LEVEL
LOW OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS IS CREATING STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
WHICH IS SUPPORTING THE LINEAR MCS. IN ADDITION...A 50 TO 60 KT
LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE LINEAR MCS AND THIS ALONG
WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY KEEP THE LINE ORGANIZED FOR
SEVERAL MORE HOURS. REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS AHEAD OF THE LINE SHOW
ABOUT 55 KT OF FLOW AT 1 KM SUGGESTING THE WIND DAMAGE THREAT MAY
CONTINUE WITH BOWING SEGMENTS IN THE LINE HAVING THE GREATEST SEVERE
POTENTIAL.
..BROYLES.. 05/02/2008
ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...
34369244 34269292 34399345 34519310 35369301 36749155
37959163 38899113 39139088 39219086 38489091 37089137
35189212
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