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Mesoscale Discussion 780
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0780
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1148 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN MO/NORTHEAST AR

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 217...218...

   VALID 260448Z - 260615Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 217...218...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STRONG WIND GUST POTENTIAL/LIMITED TORNADO RISK MAY
   CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST MO AND NORTHEAST AR
   INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

   DISCUSSION...LINEAR CONVECTIVE SEGMENT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS
   NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MO/NORTHEAST AR AS OF 1145 PM
   CDT...WHILE AN EMBEDDED REMNANT COMMAHEAD CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO
   SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER DOUGLAS COUNTY MO TO THE EAST OF SPRINGFIELD.
   OVERALL INTENSITY/INTEGRITY OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE HAS TENDED TO
   WEAKEN OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS WITH A RELATED INCREASE IN BOUNDARY
   LAYER CINH. HOWEVER...A HIGHLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT /BASED ON WSR-88D
   VWP DATA FROM SPRINGFIELD AND MEMPHIS/ COINCIDENT WITH UPPER
   60S/NEAR 70 F SURFACE DEWPOINTS SUGGEST THAT A LIMITED RISK FOR
   LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE AND/OR A TORNADO COULD REMAIN.

   ..GUYER.. 05/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

   LAT...LON   37129233 37399202 37819009 36558988 35089061 36449134
               36989158 37129233 

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Page last modified: May 26, 2015
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