Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 781
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 781 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0781
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0644 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SW KS...SE NEB

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 201...202...

   VALID 012344Z - 020115Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   201...202...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...RADAR AND OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT OF
   A STRONG CONVECTIVE LINE IS ONGOING WITH A PRIMARY SVR THREAT OF
   DAMAGING WINDS. HAIL AND EMBEDDED TORNADOES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

   DISCUSSION...RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS UPSCALE GROWTH IS
   UNDERWAY WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BOW FROM CNTRL KS NEWD INTO SE
   NEB. ACTIVITY ON THE NRN EDGE OF THE LINE HAS SHOWN A STRONG EWD
   PUSH WITH EMBEDDED MESOVORTICIES ACROSS REPUBLIC COUNTY KS. THIS EWD
   PUSH MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A REAR-INFLOW JET
   WITH A BOOKEND VORTEX NOTED FARTHER N ACROSS THAYER AND JEFFERSON
   COUNTIES. UEX VAD CORROBORATES THIS SCENARIO WITH 40 TO 50 KT EWD
   FLOW AT 2-3 KFT RECENTLY SAMPLED. 

   AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE LINE IS CHARACTERIZED BY
   MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN EXCESS OF 7 DEG C PER KM AND DEWPOINTS IN
   THE MID 60S. BULK SHEAR IS ORIENTED FAVORABLY FOR
   FORWARD-PROPAGATION WITH AN INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET EXPECTED TO AID
   INFLOW AS WELL. ADDITIONALLY...STORMS ACROSS SW KS HAVE SHOWN A
   TREND TOWARDS UPSCALE GROWTH. 

   SYNTHESIS OF THESE TRENDS AND OBSERVATIONS RESULTS IN THE MOST
   LIKELY SCENARIO OF CONTINUED UPSCALE GROWTH AND FORWARD-PROPAGATION
   OF A STRONG CONVECTIVE LINE EXTENDING FROM SW KS NEWD INTO FAR SE
   NEB. SOME EMBEDDED MESOVORTICIES ARE POSSIBLE BUT THE PRIMARY SVR
   THREAT APPEARS TO BE DAMAGING WINDS. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
   POSSIBLE.

   ..MOSIER.. 06/01/2014


   ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

   LAT...LON   37160173 37800065 38609953 39429852 40229772 40459741
               40639665 40389612 39499636 37449698 37089748 37049914
               37160173 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 02, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities