Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 783
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 783 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0783
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0743 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NW INTO N CENTRAL OK

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 020043Z - 020215Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SW KS MAY DEVELOP SOUTHEAST
   INTO NW AND N-CENTRAL OK THIS EVENING. STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
   WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS THAT MOVE INTO THE MCD AREA...AND A
   WATCH MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

   DISCUSSION...A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER NW/N-CNTRL OK EXISTS
   DOWNSTREAM OF E/SEWD ADVANCING LINE OF CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL
   INTO SW KS.  00Z MESOANALYSIS INDICATED A CORRIDOR WHERE THE CAP MAY
   BE WEAKER THAN THAT FURTHER SOUTH TOWARD CENTRAL OK /REF 00Z OKC
   RAOB/. WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY IN
   PLACE...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT TRACK INTO THE NORTHERN TIER OR TWO
   OF OK SHOULD BE MAINTAINED. DCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1500 J/KG AND STEEP
   LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT STRONG/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
   ADDITIONALLY...STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLE
   SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL. AS
   DIURNAL COOLING OCCURS AFTER 03-04Z...DAMAGING WIND THREAT SHOULD
   WANE AS STORMS BECOME MORE ELEVATED...BUT SOME INSTANCES OF HAIL MAY
   PERSIST WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS.

   ..LEITMAN/HART.. 06/02/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36179995 35969912 35989810 36069751 36279716 36559691
               36909683 37119712 37219794 37179921 36999985 36520004
               36179995 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 02, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities