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Mesoscale Discussion 786
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0786
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0941 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TX COAST

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 301441Z - 301545Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   THE MIDDLE TX COAST FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. ISOLATED EXTENT OF THE
   THREAT SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

   DISCUSSION...RECENT KT20 SURFACE OBSERVATION /ABOUT 30 MI NNW OF
   VCT/ REPORTED AT 48 KT GUST NEAR A SMALL BOWING SEGMENT WITHIN LINE
   MOVING INTO LAVACA COUNTY. AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE LINE IS VERY MOIST
   AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE...SUGGESTING FORWARD-PROPAGATION WILL
   PERSIST WITH THE THREAT FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS. WITH THE LACK
   OF STRONGER LOW-LEVEL AND MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT...THE OVERALL SVR
   THREAT IS EXPECTED TO STAY ISOLATED. SMALL SPATIAL EXTENT OF THE SVR
   THREAT WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

   ..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 05/30/2016


   ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

   LAT...LON   29369695 29659669 29359621 28529665 28469729 29369695 

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