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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0799
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST NM AND SOUTHWEST/FAR WEST TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 267...
VALID 062301Z - 070030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 267 CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCH 267 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL. AN ADDITIONAL WATCH AND/OR LOCAL EXPANSION
MAY BE NEEDED SOON EAST OF WW 267.
SEVERE STORMS/SCATTERED SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE
TRANSPECOS REGION/TX SOUTH PLAINS EARLY THIS EVENING. MOST
NOTEWORTHY SUPERCELL AS OF 2250Z IS OCCURRING SSW OF MIDLAND. THIS
STORM HAS EXHIBITED STRONG ROTATION/POSSIBLE BRIEF TORNADO...AS IT
CONTINUES TO ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN CRANE INTO UPTON COUNTY
IN THE SHORT TERM. THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS TENDED TO CONTINUE TO
HEAT/MIX IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THIS STORM...BUT SOMEWHAT BACKED LOW
LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HEIGHTENED LOW LEVEL SRH
FAVORABLE FOR A TORNADO THREAT.
FARTHER NORTH...STORMS CONTINUE TO EXPAND NEWD ACROSS THE TX SOUTH
PLAINS SSW OF LUBBOCK. WITH INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND LOWER TO
MIDDLE 60S F BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS HAVING CREPT NORTHWARD AHEAD
OF THIS EVOLVING ACTIVITY...A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT EXISTS AHEAD OF
THIS ACTIVITY. A WATCH EXTENSION OR NEW WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON.
UPSTREAM OF THIS EXISTING ACTIVITY...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
ANTICIPATED ACROSS EASTERN NM INTO FAR WEST TX AS THIS EVENING AS
LARGE SCALE DEEP ASCENT CONTINUES TO INCREASE AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH
CROSSING THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN MEXICO.
..GUYER.. 05/06/2008
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...
31270383 33500366 34330279 34270085 32350067 30270151
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