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Mesoscale Discussion 807
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0807
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1130 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NE KS ACROSS CENTRAL MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 040430Z - 040530Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE BOW ECHO ACROSS NW MO WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK E/SE
   ALONG AND N OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR IN MO DURING THE OVERNIGHT. STRONG
   WINDS AND HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE
   STORMS. ANOTHER DEVELOPING BOWING CLUSTER ACROSS SE NEB MAY ALSO
   REMAIN SEVERE AND TRACK SEWD...TAKING A SIMILAR PATH ACROSS PARTS OF
   FAR NW KS INTO WRN MO.

   DISCUSSION...A FAVORABLE AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL MO S AND E
   OF THE BOW ECHO ACROSS NW MO. THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO
   TRACK E/SE /AT AROUND 30- 40 KT/ ALONG THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT. A
   STRONG LLJ NEAR 50 KT AT ROUGHLY 1 KFT AGL WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN THE
   BOWING STRUCTURE AND CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT UPPER 60S/LOW 70S
   DEWPOINTS NWWD. FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES
   WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THREAT. A TORNADO
   OR TWO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...BUT IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE THE
   GREATEST THREAT. A WW WILL LIKELY BE COORDINATED SHORTLY.

   ..LEITMAN/HART.. 06/04/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   38449405 38579437 38879447 39279440 39539424 39799393
               39959365 39909195 39709123 39319080 39019085 38619128
               38469230 38429311 38449405 

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Page last modified: June 04, 2014
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