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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0820
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SWRN MO...NWRN AR...MUCH OF OK...FAR SERN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 295...296...
VALID 140122Z - 140215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
295...296...CONTINUES.
ADDITIONAL WW/S WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED PRIOR TO 03Z DOWNSTREAM OF
WW/S 295/296.
SEVERAL LINE SEGMENTS WITH EMBEDDED/SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
CONTINUE TO EVOLVE ALONG COLD FRONT BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDED ROUGHLY
FROM 20 E IRK TO 20 E CSM AS OF 01Z. LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF TORNADOES
HAVE BEEN THE PRIMARY THREATS THUS FAR. WHILE TRANSITION TO AN
ELONGATED QLCS HAS APPEARED TO BE DELAYED TO SOME EXTENT...STORM
INTERACTIONS AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN BETWEEN ONGOING
CLUSTERS. AMBIENT WARM SECTOR AIR MASS REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE BASED
ON MODIFIED 00Z OUN/SGF RAOBS WITH LARGE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. THIS
SUGGEST OVERALL STORM INTENSITY WILL BE MAINTAINED AS ACTIVITY
SHIFTS S/EWD THIS EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL WW/S LIKELY BEING NEEDED
FOR DOWNSTREAM OF WW/S 295/296. DAMAGING WINDS WITH EMBEDDED BOWING
SEGMENTS SHOULD BECOME THE MAIN THREAT AS COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT
LIKELY OCCURS.
..GRAMS.. 05/14/2009
ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 34779916 35339873 36569675 38129453 39129295 38629219
38279142 37599162 36619235 35129421 34329618 34199784
34409896 34779916
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