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Mesoscale Discussion 822
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0822
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0907 PM CDT WED JUN 04 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS INTO SWRN MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 050207Z - 050400Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY WITH LARGE
   HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WINDS.

   DISCUSSION...CELLS ARE INCREASING OVER SWRN MO ON THE WRN FRINGE OF
   THE MORE CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND WARM ADVECTION. THE 00Z SGF
   SOUNDING SHOWED VERY STRONG INSTABILITY AND AMPLE SHEAR FOR
   SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DOWNBURSTS. GIVEN
   CURRENT LIGHTNING TRENDS...IT APPEARS THIS WEAK FORCING WILL BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 06/05/2014


   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   36819344 37179580 37529618 38079581 38139470 37839296
               37569240 36939226 36799271 36819344 

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Page last modified: June 05, 2014
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