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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0836
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0404 AM CDT FRI MAY 09 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN NC INTO SOUTHERN/EASTERN VA AND SOUTHERN
MD
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 286...
VALID 090904Z - 091000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 286 CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCH 286 CONTINUES UNTIL 13Z...WITH A RISK OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS/HAIL.
SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO ADVANCE EASTWARD/SLOWLY DEEPEN FROM WV INTO
WESTERN VA...WITH EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL
INTO EAST CENTRAL VA. THE STRONGEST STORMS/GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL
EARLY THIS MORNING REMAINS ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN VA IN VICINITY OF
THIS RAIN-REINFORCED SURFACE BOUNDARY...AS IT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY
LIFT NORTHWARD. THIS INCLUDES A LOW TOPPED SUPERCELL STORM THAT HAS
ACQUIRED MODERATE ROTATION BETWEEN THE WEST
POINT/WILLIAMSBURG/GLOUCESTER AREAS. DOWNSTREAM PRESSURE FALLS
ACROSS VA/MD INTO THE CAROLINAS ARE MAINTAINING SOMEWHAT BACKED LOW
LEVEL FLOW...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH A 50+ KT LOW LEVEL JET PER
WSR-88D VWPS...0-1 KM SRH REMAINS AROUND 300-500 MS/S2.
..GUYER.. 05/09/2008
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...
35257856 35117970 37067903 38077617 37547499 35557654
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