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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0837
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS...NRN MO AND WEST CENTRAL IL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 305...
VALID 152043Z - 152145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 305 CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES PERSISTS
ACROSS WW 305. WW WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN AREA
SWD ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL MO.
AT 2030Z...REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A BOW MOVING EWD AT 35-40 KT
THROUGH NRN MO /CHARITON COUNTY/. THIS EWD MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO NERN MO ALONG INSTABILITY GRADIENT WHICH EXTENDS INTO
CENTRAL IL. 40-45 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION
WILL SUPPORT FURTHER STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
MAINTAINING INFLUX OF RICH MOISTURE INTO THIS MCS. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
EXTENDING WSWWD FROM LEADING EDGE OF BOW STRETCHED THROUGH SRN
LAFAYETTE COUNTY MO TO NRN JOHNSON COUNTY KS.
HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS UNDERWAY ACROSS NERN KS INTO NWRN MO AS
STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG SWRN PERIPHERY OF MCS IN NERN KS
AND TRAIN EWD N OF AFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ABOUT THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT...PLEASE REFER TO SPC
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION #836.
..PETERS.. 05/15/2009
ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...
LAT...LON 38779505 39479550 40119478 40379266 40179182 40059065
38919062 38639106 38599202 38449256 38779344 38779505
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