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Mesoscale Discussion 848
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0848
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1149 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO...NERN NM...OK AND TX PANHANDLES

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 060449Z - 060645Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A WIND AND HAIL THREAT MAY STILL DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW
   HOURS FROM SERN CO INTO TX. A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED IF STORM
   COVERAGE BEGINS TO INCREASE.

   DISCUSSION...SEVERE HAIL AND WIND HAS BEEN SCATTERED ACROSS MUCH OF
   ERN CO THIS EVENING...WITH MOST OF THE STORMS DYING ACROSS THE FAR
   ERN COUNTIES WHERE TEMPERATURES WERE COOLER. RECENTLY...A SEVERE
   STORM WAS ENTERING WRN KIOWA COUNTY CO BUT THE SAME DEMISE IS
   EXPECTED AS ITS PREDECESSORS.

   TO THE S...STORM ACTIVITY HAS QUIETED FOR THE MOMENT...BUT STRONG
   INSTABILITY REMAINS IN AN AXIS FROM ERN NM EWD ACROSS THE TX
   PANHANDLE AND INTO WRN OK. THIS IS ALSO WHERE A BOUNDARY LIES...WITH
   NELY 850 MB WINDS AT AMA AND SSELY 850 MB WINDS AT LBB PER VWPS. 

   WITH SUCH STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT...ANY DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR
   RAPIDLY...AND A WATCH WOULD BE LIKELY IF THIS OCCURS. VERY LARGE
   HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE EXPECTED.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 06/06/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   37080404 38050430 38460410 38600349 38470305 37750260
               37150217 36240167 35610091 34950035 34300037 34000142
               34100287 34310363 35070403 37080404 

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Page last modified: June 06, 2014
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