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Mesoscale Discussion 848
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0848
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0516 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND A SMALL PART OF
   SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 302216Z - 302315Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE
   STRONGEST CELLS. A WW IS NOT LIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS THAT
   HAVE ORGANIZED INTO A LINE FROM CENTRAL INTO SOUTHWESTERN
   MISSISSIPPI. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS A BIT WEAK FOR STORM
   ORGANIZATION...STORMS HAVE ORGANIZED ALONG AN EWD-PROPAGATING COLD
   POOL...WITH 30 KNOT WNWLY FLOW NOTED AT 3KM AGL ON THE DGX VAD WIND
   PROFILER AMIDST 1500-3000 J/KG MUCAPE AHEAD OF THE LINE SUPPORTIVE
   OF AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT OVER THE NEXT TWO HOURS. A WW
   WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED FOR THIS ACTIVITY DUE TO THE ISOLATED
   NATURE OF THE THREAT.

   ..COOK/THOMPSON.. 05/30/2015


   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30639128 31209090 32039037 32399006 32708972 33188948
               33608944 33958937 34018896 33978837 33618815 32898831
               32648838 32108850 31448910 31168950 30569035 30559094
               30639128 

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Page last modified: May 30, 2015
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