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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0850
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0529 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN PA/S CENTRAL AND SERN NY/WRN NJ
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 311...
VALID 162229Z - 170030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 311
CONTINUES.
CLUSTERS OF STRONG/LOCALLY-SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS
WW 311.
LATEST RADAR SHOWS WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EWD ACROSS PA/NY
ATTM...WITH LOCALLY STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WITHIN A BROKEN BAND FROM
NEAR BGM SSWWD ACROSS CENTRAL PA. THE STORMS ARE OCCURRING
NEAR/AHEAD OF A SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT CROSSING CENTRAL NY/WRN PA
ATTM...AHEAD OF WHICH A MODESTLY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS PERSISTS.
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...AS A LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING RESULTS IN A SLOWLY-STABILIZING
AIRMASS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD PERSIST LONGEST ACROSS ERN PA AND
INTO WRN NJ...WHERE THE BEST COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY
EXISTS...AND MAY LINGER INTO MUCH OF THE EVENING. WITH STORMS
NEARING THE ERN EDGE OF THE PA PORTION OF WW 311...AREA IS BEING
MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE NEW WW.
..GOSS.. 05/16/2009
ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...
LAT...LON 39677691 39907875 41007937 42137687 43437465 42917341
39837444 39687565 39677691
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