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Mesoscale Discussion 863
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0863
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0323 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...TX/OK PANHANDLES AND NERN NM

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 062023Z - 062130Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
   WINDS...AND TORNADOES IS INCREASING...AND THE ISSUANCE OF A TORNADO
   WATCH IS LIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS S OF STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ARCING FROM
   NRN NM TO NEAR/E OF AMARILLO IS MOIST AND STRONGLY UNSTABLE...AND
   HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF NWD RETREAT. SUPERCELLS DEVELOPING OVER THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM WILL ADVANCE EWD ONTO THE PLAINS. STRONG
   LOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL FOSTER A RISK FOR
   TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY NEAR/N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. DMGG WINDS
   AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

   ..COHEN/WEISS.. 06/06/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   35660511 36780453 36920216 36560015 34850028 34260115
               34220315 34520489 35660511 

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