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Mesoscale Discussion 865
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0865
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0622 PM CDT TUE JUN 02 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ND/NRN SD

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 247...

   VALID 022322Z - 030115Z

   CORRECTED MCD GRAPHIC

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 247 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO RISK CONTINUES ACROSS THE WW AREA.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS ISOLATES THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
   ND ATTM...WITH THE STRONGEST CELL CROSSING MORTON CO -- JUST NW OF
   THE SURFACE LOW CENTER PER LATEST ANALYSIS.

   WHILE THIS CELL IS MOVING INTO A MORE STRONGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
   PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS...AN EARLIER STORM DIED RAPIDLY AS IT
   MOVED EWD ACROSS SRN SD INTO THE HIGHER CAPE AIRMASS.  THIS SUGGESTS
   -- DESPITE NAM POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS WHICH SUGGEST AN UNCAPPED
   ENVIRONMENT -- THAT CAPPING PERSISTS WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AS
   INDICATED BY 19Z BIS SOUNDING.

   WITH THAT SAID...FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR NEAR AND N OF THE LOW AND
   ASSOCIATED W-E WARM FRONT SUGGEST THAT ROTATING STORMS CAPABLE OF
   HAIL -- AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO -- REMAIN POSSIBLE -- PRIMARILY
   OVER NRN PORTIONS OF THE WW AND INTO ADJACENT COUNTIES.

   ..GOSS.. 06/02/2015


   ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...

   LAT...LON   47220145 47609919 47439825 46759786 45869825 45519998
               45670115 46290224 47220145 

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